Oct 09 2008
We need real leadership and new ideas…
The state of the economy is terrifying. And with my iPhone I have all the information reminding me of that fact at my fingertips. I can check the DOW with one click … only to see it free-falling. CNN is a second away. I had hope today for a few hours. Only to find out the gain was lost and the decline continued.
Did you know that Iceland is going bankrupt? Their economy is overly reliant on banks and it’s hitting them hard. Markets around the world are tanking. The global nature of this is what scares me the most. I’m not typically one to lose hope… but I can truthfully say that I don’t know what the world will look like this time next year.
I feel like the fed is grasping at old tricks. Yes… cutting interest rates has boosted lending & spending in the past. It has helped the economy. BUT THERE WAS MONEY TO LEND! In some ways, the low interest rates of the early to mid 2000s helped us get into this mess by encouraging too many people to borrow more money that they can actually pay back… and by encouraging financial institutions to come up with new risky ”products” for this tidal wave of borrowers by loosening regulations. I agree that lending and spending is necessary to keep businesses open and jobs available. But come on. There has to be some other tactic we can come up with all those big brains in Washington. The problem isn’t that people/companies don’t want to borrow. The problem is the money isn’t there to lend because people have borrowed too much.
I do hope the tactics they’re using help… and I’m NOT encouraging big interest rate spikes … I just have trouble with the concept of lowering rates when they’re already pretty darn low. Another point and a half and we’re at zero! This solution is short term at best.
Then we have the “bailout” package. As a concept, it’s actually pretty interesting. And it could end up making money for the government in the end if the economy actually recovers. My worry is two-fold.
(1) Where are the hundreds of billions of dollars coming from? Are we borrowing it from another country? And if so, what country has that kind of a surplus when this problem is global? Are we simply going to print more money and make the dollar worth less by flooding the market with more cash? And if the latter is the plan, won’t that spike inflation?
(2) The fact that our congress could not come up with a plan without fattening it up with all the “sweeteners” outright angers me. Our leaders couldn’t get past their own agendas to help the country. That fact makes me incredibly sad. I know it’s a difficult problem. I know people have different ideas about how to solve it. But wouldn’t it make more sense to take the time to come up with a real solution that doesn’t cost the government $150 Billion above and beyond the cost of the package?
One of the few things left that I admired McCain for flew out the window after the Senate vote. He talked big about how earmarks would be a disturbing and disgusting thing to tack onto this rescue plan… and then voted for it without a peep. Not a single statement against this horrible practice… which is his #1 issue. What kind of leadership is that?
People are scrambling for the duct tape. But the problem is akin to a leak in Hoover Dam. Eventually the duct tape will get soggy and fall off… and the leak will still exist.
Step back. Be thoughtful. What’s the cause? Address that. And then come up with some short term solutions that will bridge the gap between now and the time when the real plan can be executed to fix the root of the issue.
Dan and I were lucky. We happened upon good jobs at a not so good time. But I see people who are suffering. People in my own family. Close friends of mine who did everything right. They saved. Got their credit score up. Bought a house at a reasonable price they could afford. And their home value has dropped by almost half.
Think about that. Half.
And layoffs… it amazes me how many layoff stories I’ve already heard.
I want to have confidence because I know lack of confidence is a big part of the market mess… but it’s hard when the ground we stand on is crumbling.